What the slope of a least-squares line actually tells you

General Year 12

"Interpret the slope in context" turns up in almost every bivariate data question. It is a reliable mark if you use the same sentence every time.

The template

On average, [response variable] increases (or decreases) by [slope] [units] for each one [unit] increase in [explanatory variable].

An example

Using the practice dataset below, a calculator gives

\[ \text{height} = 22.9 + 0.859 \times \text{arm span}. \]

So: on average, height increases by 0.859 cm for each 1 cm increase in arm span.

Where marks go missing

  • No "on average". The line describes a trend, not every person.
  • No units. Both variables have units. Use them.
  • Variables swapped. The slope describes the change in the response for a change in the explanatory variable, never the other way around.

Download the dataset and try it yourself, then work through the free worked examples on the intercept, \(r\), \(r^2\) and extrapolation.

Downloads

Practise this

General Free

Reading a least-squares line

Unit 3 · Bivariate data · Worked examples

Worked examples on interpreting slope, intercept and r, and on when not to extrapolate.

Open: Reading a least-squares line