Mathematical Methods · Past QCAA questions All complex familiar questions
2024 · Paper 2 · Complex familiar

Question 15

[4 marks] Technology-active
The question

The term extremely tall is used to describe any person whose height is three standard deviations or more above the mean height of the population.

A person who just qualifies as extremely tall in a country where heights are normally distributed with a mean height of 180 cm and a standard deviation of 10 cm travels to another country. The person discovers they are taller than exactly 90% of the destination country’s population.

Assuming that the standard deviation of both countries is the same, determine the minimum height required to be considered extremely tall in the destination country.

[4 marks]
Watch the situation first

One person, two countries

The first country turns the definition into a height. The second country turns that height and a percentage into a mean. Then the definition runs again.

At home, extremely tall starts at μ + 3σ The person just qualifies, so they are 210 cm tall Only 90% are shorter there, so that mean is higher Now 210 cm is only 1.28 standard deviations up Three standard deviations above the new mean Home country Destination country 150160170180190200210220230240 150160170180190200210220230240 Height (cm) 3σ = 30 extremely tall The person, 210 cm 90% 197.18 1.2816σ = 12.82 1.7184σ = 17.18 227.18 μ + 3σ = 180 + 3 × 10 = 210 cm P(X < 210) = 0.9 z ≈ 1.2816 μ = 210 − 12.8155 ≈ 197.18 cm 197.18 + 30 ≈ 227.18 cm

The person’s 210 cm links the two countries. In the new country they are 1.28 standard deviations above the mean, so they are 1.72 standard deviations short of extremely tall.

Now for the mathematics

How far is the person from the new cut-off?

The person stays at 210 cm. The percentage of people they are taller than gives $z$, the number of standard deviations they sit above the mean. Extremely tall needs 3, so the cut-off is $(3-z)\sigma$ above them. Change the percentage and the standard deviation to see what each one controls.

The person μ + 3σ zσ (3 − z)σ 140160180200220240260 Height in the destination country (cm)
People shorter than the person Cut-off for extremely tall

This is the question. Taller than exactly 90% gives $z\approx1.2816$, so the mean is $210-12.8155\approx197.18$ and the person is $(3-1.2816)\times10\approx17.18$ cm short of the cut-off. The new minimum is $227.18$ cm.

Still 90%, so $z$ has not moved, but with a different standard deviation the mean and the cut-off both shift. The question tells you the standard deviations match. That assumption is what lets you use 10 cm twice, and it is what fixes the answer at 227.18 cm.

Taller than about 99.87% means $z=3$. The person sits exactly on the cut-off, so the gap $(3-z)\sigma$ is 0 whatever the standard deviation. With $\sigma=10$ this is the home country again.

QCAA marking guide · 4 marks

Work through the solution one mark at a time

Try each step yourself before you reveal it. There is one calculator step, the inverse normal. Keep the unrounded values in your calculator until the last line.

Step 11 mark

Start in the original country. The definition puts the cut-off three standard deviations above the mean, and “just qualifies” means the person is exactly that tall.

$$\begin{aligned}\mu+3\sigma&=180+3\times10\\&=180+30\\&=210\ \text{cm}\end{aligned}$$

Marker: correctly determines the cut-off for extremely tall in the original country

Step 21 mark

Now the destination country. The person is taller than exactly 90%, so the area to the left of 210 cm is 0.90. The mean is the unknown, so sketch it as a question mark.

μ = ? 210 P(X < 210) = 0.90

Work in the standard normal, where the mean is 0 and the standard deviation is 1. Use your calculator’s inverse normal function with an area of 0.9 to the left.

$$z\approx1.28155$$

This mark can be implied by your later working. Appropriate rounding is accepted, such as 1.28.

Marker: correctly determines the z-score for a 90% area

Step 31 mark

The person’s height is the $X$ value. The standard deviation is the same as at home, $\sigma=10$, so the mean is the only unknown in the $z$-score formula.

$$\begin{aligned}z&=\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}\\1.28155&=\frac{210-\mu}{10}\\12.8155&=210-\mu\\\mu&=210-12.8155\\&=197.1845\ \text{cm}\end{aligned}$$

Appropriate rounding is accepted, such as 197.2. If your $z$-score had a slip, this mark can still be earned by follow-through.

Marker: determines the mean height of the destination country

Step 41 mark

Use the definition again, this time with the destination country’s mean.

$$\begin{aligned}&\mu+3\sigma\\&=197.1845+3\times10\\&=227.1845\end{aligned}$$

227.18 cm

Appropriate rounding is accepted, such as 227.2. As a check, the person is 1.28155 standard deviations up and needs 3, so the cut-off is $(3-1.28155)\times10\approx17.18$ cm above 210 cm.

Marker: determines the minimum height required in the destination country

Putting it all together

Each phrase of the question gave you something

“three standard deviations or more above the mean height of the population”
A rule you use twice. The cut-off is $\mu+3\sigma$ in each country.
“just qualifies … a mean height of 180 cm and a standard deviation of 10 cm”
The person’s height is the home cut-off, $180+30=210$ cm.
“taller than exactly 90% of the destination country’s population”
$P(X<210)=0.9$, which gives $z\approx1.2816$.
“Assuming that the standard deviation of both countries is the same”
$\sigma=10$ in the destination country, which leaves only the mean to find, $\mu\approx197.18$.
“the minimum height required to be considered extremely tall in the destination country”
The rule again with the new mean, $197.18+30\approx227.18$ cm.
What makes this complex familiar

Each piece is a standard normal-distribution move. What makes it complex familiar is that one person links two populations. You use the definition forwards in the first country to get a height, carry that height into the second country as the known value, run the unknown-mean routine from a percentage, and then use the definition forwards again with the new mean. The question never says “find the mean of the destination country”, so you have to see that it is the missing link. It stays familiar because the definition, the percentage and the matching standard deviation are all stated for you.

If I had to guess where you might lose marks, it would be the direction. Taller than 90% puts 210 cm above the new mean, so you subtract: $\mu=210-12.8155$. Adding gives a population where only 10% are shorter than the person. The next risk is stopping at 197.18, which earns three marks but answers a different question. The last mark needs the new cut-off, 30 cm above that mean.

Only mark this done when you could do it without help. Reading the solution does not count.

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Question wording and marking-guide steps are from the 2024 QCAA Mathematical Methods external assessment, © State of Queensland (QCAA) 2024, licensed under CC BY 4.0, and have been adapted. Tangent Tuition is not affiliated with the QCAA.